California Energy Commission Letterhead

In the Matter of:

Preparation of the
2009 Integrated Energy Policy Report
(2009 IEPR)

Docket No. 09-IEP-1C

NOTICE OF COMMITTEE
WORKSHOP

 

Committee Workshop on
2010-2020 Revised Demand Forecast and
Uncommitted Energy Efficiency

View Workshop Documents


The California Energy Commission's (Energy Commission) Integrated Energy Policy Report (IEPR) Committee will hold a workshop to obtain comments on the staff's revised 10-year forecasts of annual natural gas, electricity, and peak demand. Commissioner Jeffrey D. Byron is the Presiding Member and Vice Chair James D. Boyd is the Associate Member of the IEPR Committee. Other Commissioners from the Energy Commission or the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) may also attend and participate in this workshop. The workshop will be held:

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 21, 2009
10 a.m.
CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION
1516 Ninth Street
First Floor, Hearing Room A
Sacramento, California
(Wheelchair Accessible)

Remote Attendance

Web Conferencing - Presentations and audio from the meeting will be broadcast via our WebEx web conferencing system. For details on how to participate via WebEx, please see the "Participation through WebEx" section at the end of this notice.

Purpose

At this workshop, Energy Commission staff will present their revised 10-year forecasts of electricity demand and consumption, and, where appropriate, natural gas end-use consumption, including discussion of the methods, data, and assumptions used to develop those forecasts. Load serving entities (LSEs) and other parties who wish to propose alternative demand forecasts or have questions on the assumptions and methods of the staff demand forecasts should use this workshop as their opportunity to contribute to the record of the proceeding. Staff will also discuss the amount of conservation savings incorporated within the forecast and the methodology behind these estimates.

In addition, staff will describe the methodology being used in the "uncommitted" forecast to be completed later this year in support of the CPUC's 2010 Long-Term Procurement Process, and report on progress made to this point.

Background

Energy Commission staff has developed revised forecasts of electricity and end-user natural gas consumption and peak electricity demand for each major utility planning area within California for the 10-year period, 2010-2020. These forecasts will be published in a staff report prior to the workshop [www.energy.ca.gov/2009_energypolicy/documents]. Staff conducted a workshop on June 26, 2009 to receive public comments on the staff draft forecast. Staff has revised the forecast to address many of the comments received, as well as direction from the IEPR Committee. The demand forecasts are prepared using Energy Commission forecast methods; they are not dependent on any LSE forecast.

Following the workshop, the Committee will provide direction to staff concerning any remaining revisions to the demand forecast. The final forecasts will be used in a number of applications, including the 2009 IEPR, the CPUC's 2010 procurement process, and the Energy Commission's electricity supply-demand assessments. The final forecasts will also be an input to the California Independent System Operator's controlled grid studies, other transmission planning studies, and the California Gas Report.

The 2007 IEPR identified the need to conduct a public process to determine an effective method to better measure the energy efficiency savings assumptions in the Energy Commission staff's demand forecast. To address this issue, Energy Commission staff developed a conceptual project plan that includes valuable input from other entities such as the CPUC, Itron, and California utilities. This plan was presented in the 2008 IEPR Update and discussed during an August 12, 2008 IEPR Committee workshop, and includes an uncommitted energy efficiency projection capability to support the CPUC Long-Term Procurement Process. Uncommitted efficiency savings are those reasonably expected to occur but not yet implemented or funded. Energy Commission staff, with consultant support, will develop a forecast later this year which estimates the impacts of uncommitted savings on electricity consumption and demand through 2020, using the staff demand forecasts as the reference point.

Written Comments

Written comments on the workshop topics must be submitted by 5 p.m. on Friday, October 2, 2009. Please include the docket number 09-IEP-1C and indicate "Demand Forecast" in the subject line or first paragraph of your comments. Please hand-deliver or mail an original to:

California Energy Commission
Dockets Office, MS-4
Re: Docket No. 09-IEP-1C
1516 Ninth Street
Sacramento, CA 95814-5512

The Energy Commission encourages comments by e-mail. Please include your name or organization's in the name of the file. Those submitting comments by electronic mail should provide them in either Microsoft Word format or as a Portable Document File (PDF) to [docket@energy.state.ca.us]. One paper copy must also be sent to the Energy Commission's Dockets Office. Participants may also provide an original and ten copies at the beginning of the workshop. All written materials relating to this workshop will be filed with the Dockets Office and become part of the public record in this proceeding.

Public Participation

The Energy Commission's Public Adviser's Office provides the public assistance in participating in Energy Commission activities. If you want information on how to participate in this forum, please contact the Public Adviser, at (916) 654-4489 or toll free at (800) 822-6228, by FAX at (916) 654-4493, or by e-mail at [PublicAdviser@energy.state.ca.us]. If you have a disability and require assistance to participate, please contact Lou Quiroz at (916) 654-5146 at least five days in advance.

Please direct all news media inquiries to the Media and Publications Office at (916) 654-4989, or by e-mail at [mediaoffice@energy.state.ca.us]. Technical questions on the subject matter of this notice should be directed to Chris Kavalec at (916) 654-5184 or e-mail at [ckavalec@energy.state.ca.us]. For general questions regarding the IEPR proceeding, please contact Lynette Esternon Green, IEPR project manager, at (916) 653-2728 or by e-mail at [lesterno@energy.state.ca.us].

The service list for the 2009 IEPR is handled electronically. Notices and documents for this proceeding are posted to the Energy Commission website at [www.energy.ca.gov/2009_energypolicy/index.html]. When new information is posted, an e-mail will be sent to those on the energy policy e-mail list server. We encourage those who are interested in receiving these notices to sign up for the list server through the website [www.energy.ca.gov/listservers/index.html].

Participation through WebEx, the Energy Commission's on-line meeting service

Computer Log on with a Direct Phone Number:

  • Please go to https://energy.webex.com and enter the unique meeting number
    923 099 694
  • When prompted, enter your information and the following meeting password meeting@0921 (Please note that password is case sensitive.)
  • After you log in, a prompt will appear on-screen for you to provide your phone number. In the Number box, type your area code and phone number and click OK to receive a call back on your phone for the audio of the meeting. International callers can use the "Country/Region" button to help make their connection.

Computer Log on for Callers with an Extension Phone Number, etc.:

  • Please go to [https://energy.webex.com] and enter the unique meeting number
    923 099 694
  • When prompted, enter your information and the following meeting password meeting@0921 (Please note that password is case sensitive.)
  • After you log in, a prompt will ask for your phone number. CLICK CANCEL.
  • Instead call 1-866-469-3239 (toll-free in the U.S. and Canada). When prompted, enter the meeting number above and your unique Attendee ID number which is listed in the top left area of your screen after you log in. International callers can dial in using the "Show all global call-in numbers" link (also in the top left area).

Telephone Only (No Computer Access):

Call 1-866-469-3239 (toll-free in the U.S. and Canada) and when prompted enter the unique meeting number 923 099 694. International callers can select their number from [https://energy.webex.com/energy/globalcallin.php]. If you have difficulty joining the meeting, please call the WebEx Technical Support number at 1-866-229-3239. Please be aware that the meeting's WebEx audio and on-screen activity may be recorded.

commissioner signature
JEFFREY D. BYRON
Commissioner and Presiding Member
Integrated Energy Policy Report Committee

commissioner signature
JAMES D. BOYD
Vice Chair and Associate Member
Integrated Energy Policy Report Committee