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Welcome to the California Energy Commission
Public Interest Energy Research Program: Final Project Report

cover of report Permitting Setbacks for
Wind Turbines in California

Publication Number: CEC-500-2005-184
Publication Date: November 2006
PIER Program Area: Renewable Energy technologies

The executive summary, abstract and table of contents for this report are available below. This publication is available as an Adobe Acrobat Portable Document Format Files. In order to download, read and print PDF files, you will need a copy of the free Acrobat Reader software installed in and configured for your computer. The software can be downloaded from Adobe Systems Incorporated's website.

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Executive Summary

Introduction

California counties have adopted setbacks for wind turbines primarily to account for the risk of fragments from the rotor. These setbacks are usually based on overall turbine height, which includes the tower height and the radius of the blade. With evolution in the industry to larger turbines, these setbacks increase in total distance and become a hindrance to wind energy development. The authors present a hypothetical example where the total energy production of a windplant is reduced with the application of larger, modern turbines.

Purpose

The purpose of this report is to summarize wind turbine setbacks in California and to describe any connection between rotor failure and windplant setback requirements.

Project Objectives

The objectives of this study of wind turbine setbacks were to:

  • Document and compare current wind turbine setbacks in California

  • Report on how the setbacks were developed

  • Report on the probability of rotor failure

  • Study existing analyses of the rotor fragment hazard and determine if setback criteria can be developed with existing information.

Project Outcomes

The outcomes of the project were:

  • The authors gathered information regarding turbine setbacks by interviewing county planning personnel, studying the county ordinances, and conducting a literature search of the subject. Wind turbine setbacks were documented for California counties with existing and future wind energy development, including Alameda, Contra Costa, Kern, Merced, Riverside, and Solano counties. Comparisons were made between the various ordinances.

  • From this data the authors developed a picture of how the turbine setbacks were established. The majority of the ordinances were developed by ad hoc groups of local interests and the fledgling wind energy industry.

  • The authors conducted a literature survey regarding the probability of rotor failure. Several sources of information were obtained. These include failure reports of turbines in Alameda County, failure data from Denmark and Germany reported in the WindStats periodical, and a Dutch report on European rotor failures. The probability of rotor failure varied from 1-in-100 to 1-in-1000 turbines per year.

  • The authors present a simplified analysis of the rotor fragment hazard to compare to more complex analyses. The analyses of six researchers were found in a literature survey of varying complexity. Results were compared to determine if setback criteria could be developed.

Conclusions

Wind turbine setbacks vary by county. The counties typically base the setback on the maximum of a fixed distance or a multiple of the overall turbine height. A common setback is three times the overall turbine height from a property line. There is no evidence that setbacks were based on formal analysis of the rotor fragment hazard.

The most comprehensive study of wind turbine rotor failures places the risk of failure at approximately 1-in-1000 turbines per year. The maximum range of a rotor fragment is highly dependent on the release velocity that is related to the blade tip speed. Tip speed tends to remain constant with turbine size; therefore, the maximum range will tend to remain constant with turbine size. In the analysis of rotor fragment trajectories, the most comprehensive models yielded results that showed the shortcomings of simpler methods. Overall, the literature shows the possibility of setbacks for larger turbines may be based on a fixed distance and not the overall height.

Recommendations

The authors recommend that a comprehensive model of the rotor fragment hazard be developed based on the results of the literature review. This tool would then be used with a variety of turbine sizes with the objective to develop risk-based setback standards.

Benefits to California

The information provided in this report can be used by California planning agencies as a background for evaluating wind turbine setbacks. Researchers can also use the information as background for developing models of the rotor fragment hazard.


Abstract

The California Wind Energy Collaborative was tasked to look at barriers to new wind energy development in the state. Planning commissions in the state have developed setback standards to reduce the risk of damage or injury from fragments resulting from wind turbine rotor failures. These standards are usually based on overall turbine height. With the trend toward larger capacity, taller towers and longer blades, modern wind turbines can be "squeezed out" of parcels thus reducing the economic viability of new wind developments.

Current setback standards and their development are reviewed. The rotor failure probability is discussed and public domain statistics are reviewed. The available documentation shows rotor failure probability in the 1-in-1000 per turbine per year range. The analysis of the rotor fragment throw event is discussed in simplified terms. The range of the throw is highly dependent on the release velocity, which is a function of the turbine tip speed. The tip speed of wind turbines does not tend to increase with turbine size, thus offering possible relief to setback standards. Six analyses of rotor fragment risks were reviewed. The analyses do not particularly provide guidance for setbacks. Recommendations are made to use models from previous analyses for developing setbacks with an acceptable hazard probability.

Keywords: Wind turbines, wind power, wind energy, permitting, zoning, ordinances, hazards



Table of Contents

Preface i

List of Figures v

List of Tables vi

Executive Summary 1

1.0 Introduction 3

1.1 Background and Overview 3

1.1.1 Example Windplant and the Problem with Current Setbacks 4

1.2 Project Objectives 7

2.0 Project Approach 9

3.0 Project Outcomes 11

3.1 Current Wind Energy Ordinances 11

3.2 Setback Development 13

3.2.1 Alameda County Ordinance 13

3.2.2 Contra Costa County Ordinance 14

3.2.3 Kern County Ordinance 14

3.2.4 Riverside County Ordinance 14

3.2.5 Solano County Ordinance 14

3.3 Rotor Failure Probabilities 15

3.3.1 Rotor Failures in the Literature 15

3.3.2 Alameda County Turbine Failure Data 17

3.3.3 WindStats Turbine Failure Data 17

3.3.4 Dutch NOVEM Report 17

3.4 Rotor Fragment Analyses 19

3.4.1 Background of Rotor Fragment Models 19

3.4.2 Rotor Fragment Analyses in the Literature 26

3.4.3 Comparisons of Rotor Fragment Analyses 31

4.0 Conclusions and Recommendations 33

4.1 Conclusions 33

4.2 Recommendations 33

4.2.1 Rotor Failure Rate and Operating Conditions at Failure 34

4.2.2 Turbine Sizes 34

4.2.3 Position of Blade Break 34

4.2.4 Aerodynamic Model 34

4.2.5 Impact Modeling 34

4.2.6 Slope Effects 34

4.2.7 Validation Effort 35

4.3 Benefits to California 36

5.0 References 37

6.0 Glossary 41

Attachment I: Analysis of Risk-Involved Incidents of Wind Turbines

List of Figures

Figure 1. Wind Turbine Dimensions 4

Figure 2. Layout for V-47 Wind Turbines Based on Setback Requirement of Three Times Total Turbine Height 5

Figure 3. Layout for GE 1.5s Machines Based on Setback Requirements of Three Times Total Turbine Height 6

Figure 4. Rotor fragment schematic 20

Figure 5. Probability of Impact Within an Annular Region 23

Figure 6. Target Annular Sector 24

Figure 7. Probability of Impact in Annular Sector 24

Figure 8. Throw distances in Sørensen conference paper with 10-4 probability risk Range 30

Figure 9. Comparison of rotor fragment analyses for maximum range at nominal operating conditions 32


List of Tables

Table 1. Setback References in California County Ordinances 7

Table 2. Safety Setback Comparison 8

Table 3. IEC Peak Gusts 14

Table 4. Sensitivity Studies by Sørensen in Wind Engineering Paper 23


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