California Energy Demand 2016-2026, Revised Electricity Forecast Volume 1 and II

The California Energy Demand 2016-2026, Revised Electricity Forecast describes the California Energy Commission’s revised 10-year forecasts for electricity consumption, retail sales, and peak demand for each of five major electricity planning areas and for the state. This forecast supports the analysis and recommendations of the 2014 Integrated Energy Policy Report Update. The forecast includes three demand cases: a high energy demand case, a low energy demand case, and a mid energy demand case.

The California Energy Demand 2016-2026, Revised Electricity Forecast, Volume 2: Electricity Demand by Utility Planning Area describes the California Energy Commission’s revised 10-year forecasts for electricity consumption and peak demand for each of the five major electricity planning areas and for the distinct forecast zones within those planning areas. This forecast supports the analysis and recommendations of the 2014 Integrated Energy Policy Report Update. The forecast includes three demand cases: a high energy demand case, a low energy demand case, and a mid energy demand case.

The high energy demand case incorporates relatively high economic/demographic growth and climate change impacts and relatively low electricity rates and selfgeneration impacts. The low energy demand case includes lower economic/demographic growth, higher assumed rates, and higher self-generation impacts. The mid case uses input assumptions at levels between the high and low cases. In addition, this forecast incorporates estimates for additional achievable energy efficiency and provides adjusted, or managed, forecasts designed for resource planning purposes. Forecasts are provided at both the planning area and climate zone level.