California Energy Demand 2018-2028 Preliminary Forecast
Publication Number
CEC-200-2017-006
Updated
August 09, 2017
Publication Year
2017
Publication Division
Energy Assessments (200)
Author(s)
Chris Kavalec, Asish Gautam
Abstract
The California Energy Demand 2018–2028 Preliminary Forecast describes the California Energy Commission’s preliminary 10-year forecasts for electricity consumption, retail sales, and peak demand for each of five major electricity planning areas and for the state as a whole. This forecast supports the analysis and recommendations set forth in the 2014 Integrated Energy Policy Report Update. The forecast includes three full scenarios: a high energy demand case, a low energy demand case, and a mid-energy demand case. The high energy demand case incorporates relatively high economic/demographic growth and climate change impacts, and relatively low electricity rates and self-generation impacts. The low energy demand case includes lower economic/demographic growth, higher assumed rates, and higher self-generation impacts. The mid case uses input assumptions at levels between the high and low cases.