This report provides an overview of advanced vehicle technologies considered by the CEC, that may be worthy of consideration in the future. The report describes the current status of these technologies and summarizes their potential petroleum consumption/greenhouse gas emission impacts. Technologies considered include light-duty hybrid and plug-in electric vehicles, medium- and heavy-duty hybrid and PEVs, alternative fuel vehicles including diesel, gasoline blends containing up to 85 percent ethanol, liquefied petroleum gas, compressed natural gas, liquefied natural gas, and hydrogen. The report further compares various advanced vehicle technology penetration scenarios and describes a consumer preference modeling approach (validated against historical vehicle sales data) planned for use in ongoing market impact assessment activities. Emerging technologies discussed in the report that have not been included previously but may be worth considering in the future include roadway electrification and dimethyl ether engines. The report closes with an overview of government regulations and incentives influencing the advanced vehicle market.
Author(s)
Jeffrey Gonder, Adam Ragatz, Aaron Brooker, Jenny Heeter, Marc Melaina, Yongling Sun