The Joint Agency Reliability Planning Assessment (Reliability Planning Assessment) addresses requirements for electricity reliability reporting in Senate Bill 846 (Dodd, Chapter 239, Statutes of 2022) and Assembly Bill 205 (Committee on Budget, Chapter 61, Statutes of 2022). The report provides the first quarterly review of the demand forecast, the supply forecast, and potential high, medium, and low risks to reliability in the California Independent System Operator territory from 2023 to 2032, as required by SB 846. The analysis for 2023 is preliminary and will be updated in May to capture relevant pre-summer conditions (e.g., hydroelectric updates). The report also provides an evaluation of summer 2022 reliability and the magnitude of reliability problems for 2023–2026, as required by AB 205.
Author(s)
Mark Kootstra, California Energy Commission; Nathan Barcic, California Public Utilities Commission