CA Energy Demand Forecast: Load Modifier Assumptions

To interested parties:

Please join us for an upcoming Demand Analysis Working Group (DAWG) meeting on Monday, August 18, from 10:00am-4:00pm, to discuss California Energy Demand Forecast updates for load modifier inputs and methodology for the 2025 IEPR. The meeting will be hybrid with options to attend either in-person or by webinar. The meeting will be held in conference room 2-301 on the second floor of the California Natural Resources Agency building located at 715 P Street, Sacramento, CA. Zoom information is at the bottom of this notice. 

Attendees are strongly encouraged to ask questions and provide critical feedback on the topics below. Suggestions for additional relevant topics or questions about the topics below are welcome, though may not be addressed at this upcoming meeting. 

 The key topics of discussion for this DAWG meeting will be: 

• Behind-the-Meter (BTM) PV and storage
  • Updated historical BTM PV and storage adoption trends
  • Uncertainties
  • Proposed scenarios
• Additional Achievable Transportation Electrification
  • Changes in Federal and State Regulations
  • Economic Uncertainty
• Committed Energy Efficiency Savings
  • Methodology update
  • Expected impact to the forecast
• Additional Achievable Energy Efficiency  and Additional Achievable Fuel Substitution
  • Uncertainties
  • Proposed scenarios
    • Programs and incremental Codes and Standards
    • Zero-Emission Appliance Standards and associated adoption
  • Introduce the enhanced agricultural and industrial fuel substitution and hydrogen model (intended to be used in 2026) 

An agenda and materials will be posted in advance of the webinar to the DAWG webpage. Future meeting announcements will be sent only to the Demand Analysis Working Group list. Use the link above to subscribe. 

Please direct questions to: 
DAWG@energy.ca.gov. 

Agenda

• Meeting Agenda

Presentations

• 2025 Committed Energy Efficiency Savings
• 2025 IEPR Forecast overview Introduction
• 2025 Transportation Forecast Assumptions and Framing
• Additional Achievable Energy Efficiency (AAEE) and Additional Achievable Substitution (AAFS)
• Distributed Generation Scenarios Inputs and Assumptions
• Enhanced Agricultural and Industrial Fuel Substitution Module in FSSAT
• Historical Behind-the-Meter Distributed Generation Insights
• SDG&E Residential PV Adoption Model Scenario Considerations
• SCE Demand_side PV & ES Forecast Update
• PG&E Impacts of Potential Federal Policy Intervention

Remote Attendance

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Meeting ID: 817 3433 6325
Passcode: 818237

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Meeting ID: 817 3433 6325
Passcode: 818237